Diagnostic Performance of Certain POCUS Parameters to Predict Blood Lactate Levels in Non-Hypotensive Sepsis Patients

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Patchara Potiklang
Krongkarn Sutham
Theerapon Tangsuwanaruk
Borwon Wittayachamnankul
Nattikarn Meelarp

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Blood lactate levels are crucial indicators for the detection of hypoperfusion in sepsis. However, the facilities for testing remain limited in many emergency departments (EDs). Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) is used to help assess the hemodynamic status of emergency patients, including those with sepsis and may have the potential to predict blood lactate levels.


OBJECTIVES: This study aims to demonstrate the diagnostic performance of certain POCUS parameters regarding the prediction of blood lactate levels in non-hypotensive sepsis patients.


METHODS: This cross-sectional diagnostic study focused on patients aged 18 and above without hypotension, but were suspected of sepsis with a National Early Warning Score (NEWS) of more than 4, who visited the ED of Maharaj Nakorn Chiang Mai Hospital between January and October 2023. Trained physicians performed relevant POCUS measurements on all participants, and the results were recorded. Positive POCUS parameters, including IVC-CI >50% collapsibility in spontaneous ventilation or >18% distensibility in mechanical positive pressure ventilation, LVOT VTI <18 cm, or LVEDD <25 mm or ‘LV kissing’, were blinded to assess the prediction of blood lactate levels ≥2 and ≥4 mmol/L. Diagnostic performance analysis was performed using sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of POCUS parameters to predict blood lactate levels. The ROC curve was utilized to determine the area under the curve (AUC) to evaluate the accuracy of the predictions.


RESULTS: A total of 95 non-hypotensive sepsis patients were included. For identification of participants with blood lactate levels ≥4 mmol/L, any single positive POCUS parameter exhibited a sensitivity of 90.9% (70.8-98.9), specificity of 37.5% (26.4-49.7) (AuROC 0.64), and NPV of 93.1% (77.2-99.2). The POCUS parameter with the highest sensitivity was LVEDD <25 mm (72.7%), and with the highest specificity was LVOT VTI <18 cm (70.8%). The sensitivity of triple positive POCUS parameters was 18.2%, while specificity was 91.7%.


CONCLUSIONS: Sole utilization of ultrasound parameters may not be feasible for the prediction of lactate levels. However, in situations where the facility to measure blood lactate levels is not available, the absence of any positive findings in POCUS parameters such as IVC-CI, LVOT VTI, or LVEDD can be employed as an initial screening method for sepsis patients without hypotension in the emergency department, aiming to exclude lactate levels ≥4 mmol/L.


Thaiclinicaltrials.org number, TCTR20231011003

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References

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