Markov Model in Medical Prognosis

Abstract

Markov models had been used in medical prognosis both in foreign and in Thailand.  In Thailand, the clinical research almost completes at significant in hypothesis testing, but Markov model has an ability to project about the state probability of the disease.  This article presented Markov chain theory from the definition of state, transition probability matrix, and the projecting to the next stages until equilibrium.  The example was come from the research in Thai massage that starting from data processing, construct the transition probability matrix, and forecasting the future state probability.